chartcrime
Methodology
Consumer inflation — official vs SGS replication
Year-over-year change, CPI-U (NSA)
Official CPI-USGS 1980-base
0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%1980199020002010202012.4%3.5%
Data table
DateOfficial CPI-USGS 1980-base
2026-063.5%12.4%
2026-054.2%13.1%
2026-043.8%12.7%
2026-033.3%12.1%
2026-022.4%11.3%
2026-012.4%11.2%
2025-122.7%11.5%
2025-112.7%11.6%
2025-093.0%11.8%
2025-082.9%11.7%
2025-072.7%11.5%
2025-062.7%11.5%
2025-052.4%11.2%
2025-042.3%11.1%
2025-032.4%11.2%
2025-022.8%11.6%
2025-013.0%11.8%
2024-122.9%11.7%
2024-112.7%11.5%
2024-102.6%11.4%
2024-092.4%11.2%
2024-082.5%11.3%
2024-072.9%11.6%
2024-063.0%11.7%
2024-053.3%12.0%
2024-043.4%12.1%
2024-033.5%12.2%
2024-023.2%11.9%
2024-013.1%11.8%
2023-123.4%12.1%
2023-113.1%11.8%
2023-103.2%11.9%
2023-093.7%12.4%
2023-083.7%12.3%
2023-073.2%11.9%
2023-063.0%11.6%
2023-054.0%12.7%
2023-044.9%13.6%
2023-035.0%13.6%
2023-026.0%14.7%
2023-016.4%15.1%
2022-126.5%15.1%
2022-117.1%15.7%
2022-107.7%16.4%
2022-098.2%16.8%
2022-088.3%16.9%
2022-078.5%17.1%
2022-069.1%17.7%
2022-058.6%17.2%
2022-048.3%16.8%
2022-038.5%17.1%
2022-027.9%16.4%
2022-017.5%16.1%
2021-127.0%15.6%
2021-116.8%15.4%
2021-106.2%14.8%
2021-095.4%13.9%
2021-085.3%13.8%
2021-075.4%13.9%
2021-065.4%13.9%
2021-055.0%13.5%
2021-044.2%12.7%
2021-032.6%11.1%
2021-021.7%10.2%
2021-011.4%9.9%
2020-121.4%9.9%
2020-111.2%9.7%
2020-101.2%9.7%
2020-091.4%9.8%
2020-081.3%9.8%
2020-071.0%9.5%
2020-060.6%9.1%
2020-050.1%8.6%
2020-040.3%8.8%
2020-031.5%10.0%
2020-022.3%10.8%
2020-012.5%10.9%
2019-122.3%10.7%
2019-112.1%10.5%
2019-101.8%10.2%
2019-091.7%10.1%
2019-081.7%10.1%
2019-071.8%10.2%
2019-061.6%10.0%
2019-051.8%10.2%
2019-042.0%10.4%
2019-031.9%10.2%
2019-021.5%9.9%
2019-011.6%9.9%
2018-121.9%10.3%
2018-112.2%10.5%
2018-102.5%10.9%
2018-092.3%10.6%
2018-082.7%11.0%
2018-072.9%11.3%
2018-062.9%11.2%
2018-052.8%11.1%
2018-042.5%10.8%
2018-032.4%10.7%
2018-022.2%10.5%
2018-012.1%10.4%
2017-122.1%10.4%
2017-112.2%10.5%
2017-102.0%10.3%
2017-092.2%10.5%
2017-081.9%10.2%
2017-071.7%10.0%
2017-061.6%9.9%
2017-051.9%10.1%
2017-042.2%10.4%
2017-032.4%10.6%
2017-022.7%11.0%
2017-012.5%10.7%
2016-122.1%10.3%
2016-111.7%9.9%
2016-101.6%9.8%
2016-091.5%9.7%
2016-081.1%9.2%
2016-070.8%9.0%
2016-061.0%9.2%
2016-051.0%9.2%
2016-041.1%9.3%
2016-030.9%9.0%
2016-021.0%9.2%
2016-011.4%9.5%
2015-120.7%8.9%
2015-110.5%8.6%
2015-100.2%8.3%
2015-09-0.0%8.1%
2015-080.2%8.3%
2015-070.2%8.3%
2015-060.1%8.2%
2015-05-0.0%8.1%
2015-04-0.2%7.9%
2015-03-0.1%8.0%
2015-02-0.0%8.1%
2015-01-0.1%8.0%
2014-120.8%8.8%
2014-111.3%9.4%
2014-101.7%9.7%
2014-091.7%9.7%
2014-081.7%9.7%
2014-072.0%10.0%
2014-062.1%10.1%
2014-052.1%10.2%
2014-042.0%10.0%
2014-031.5%9.5%
2014-021.1%9.1%
2014-011.6%9.6%
2013-121.5%9.5%
2013-111.2%9.2%
2013-101.0%8.9%
2013-091.2%9.2%
2013-081.5%9.5%
2013-072.0%9.9%
2013-061.8%9.7%
2013-051.4%9.3%
2013-041.1%9.0%
2013-031.5%9.4%
2013-022.0%9.9%
2013-011.6%9.5%
2012-121.7%9.7%
2012-111.8%9.7%
2012-102.2%10.1%
2012-092.0%9.9%
2012-081.7%9.6%
2012-071.4%9.3%
2012-061.7%9.6%
2012-051.7%9.6%
2012-042.3%10.2%
2012-032.7%10.5%
2012-022.9%10.7%
2012-012.9%10.8%
2011-123.0%10.8%
2011-113.4%11.2%
2011-103.5%11.4%
2011-093.9%11.7%
2011-083.8%11.6%
2011-073.6%11.5%
2011-063.6%11.4%
2011-053.6%11.4%
2011-043.2%11.0%
2011-032.7%10.5%
2011-022.1%9.9%
2011-011.6%9.4%
2010-121.5%9.3%
2010-111.1%8.9%
2010-101.2%8.9%
2010-091.1%8.9%
2010-081.1%8.9%
2010-071.2%9.0%
2010-061.1%8.8%
2010-052.0%9.8%
2010-042.2%10.0%
2010-032.3%10.0%
2010-022.1%9.9%
2010-012.6%10.3%
2009-122.7%10.4%
2009-111.8%9.5%
2009-10-0.2%7.5%
2009-09-1.3%6.4%
2009-08-1.5%6.2%
2009-07-2.1%5.6%
2009-06-1.4%6.2%
2009-05-1.3%6.4%
2009-04-0.7%6.9%
2009-03-0.4%7.3%
2009-020.2%7.9%
2009-010.0%7.7%
2008-120.1%7.7%
2008-111.1%8.7%
2008-103.7%11.3%
2008-094.9%12.6%
2008-085.4%13.0%
2008-075.6%13.2%
2008-065.0%12.6%
2008-054.2%11.8%
2008-043.9%11.5%
2008-034.0%11.6%
2008-024.0%11.6%
2008-014.3%11.9%
2007-124.1%11.6%
2007-114.3%11.9%
2007-103.5%11.1%
2007-092.8%10.3%
2007-082.0%9.5%
2007-072.4%9.9%
2007-062.7%10.2%
2007-052.7%10.2%
2007-042.6%10.1%
2007-032.8%10.3%
2007-022.4%9.9%
2007-012.1%9.6%
2006-122.5%10.0%
2006-112.0%9.5%
2006-101.3%8.8%
2006-092.1%9.5%
2006-083.8%11.3%
2006-074.1%11.6%
2006-064.3%11.8%
2006-054.2%11.6%
2006-043.5%11.0%
2006-033.4%10.8%
2006-023.6%11.0%
2006-014.0%11.4%
2005-123.4%10.8%
2005-113.5%10.9%
2005-104.3%11.8%
2005-094.7%12.1%
2005-083.6%11.0%
2005-073.2%10.6%
2005-062.5%9.9%
2005-052.8%10.2%
2005-043.5%10.9%
2005-033.1%10.5%
2005-023.0%10.4%
2005-013.0%10.3%
2004-123.3%10.6%
2004-113.5%10.9%
2004-103.2%10.5%
2004-092.5%9.9%
2004-082.7%10.0%
2004-073.0%10.3%
2004-063.3%10.6%
2004-053.1%10.4%
2004-042.3%9.6%
2004-031.7%9.0%
2004-021.7%9.0%
2004-011.9%9.2%
2003-121.9%9.2%
2003-111.8%9.0%
2003-102.0%9.3%
2003-092.3%9.6%
2003-082.2%9.4%
2003-072.1%9.4%
2003-062.1%9.4%
2003-052.1%9.3%
2003-042.2%9.5%
2003-033.0%10.2%
2003-023.0%10.2%
2003-012.6%9.8%
2002-122.4%9.6%
2002-112.2%9.4%
2002-102.0%9.2%
2002-091.5%8.7%
2002-081.8%9.0%
2002-071.5%8.6%
2002-061.1%8.2%
2002-051.2%8.3%
2002-041.6%8.8%
2002-031.5%8.6%
2002-021.1%8.3%
2002-011.1%8.3%
2001-121.6%8.7%
2001-111.9%9.0%
2001-102.1%9.3%
2001-092.6%9.8%
2001-082.7%9.8%
2001-072.7%9.8%
2001-063.2%10.3%
2001-053.6%10.7%
2001-043.3%10.4%
2001-032.9%10.0%
2001-023.5%10.6%
2001-013.7%10.8%
2000-123.4%10.5%
2000-113.4%10.5%
2000-103.4%10.5%
2000-093.5%10.5%
2000-083.4%10.5%
2000-073.7%10.7%
2000-063.7%10.8%
2000-053.2%10.2%
2000-043.1%10.1%
2000-033.8%10.8%
2000-023.2%10.2%
2000-012.7%9.7%
1999-122.7%9.7%
1999-112.6%9.6%
1999-102.6%9.5%
1999-092.6%9.5%
1999-082.3%9.1%
1999-072.1%9.0%
1999-062.0%8.8%
1999-052.1%8.9%
1999-042.3%9.0%
1999-031.7%8.4%
1999-021.6%8.3%
1999-011.7%8.3%
1998-121.6%8.2%
1998-111.5%8.1%
1998-101.5%8.0%
1998-091.5%8.0%
1998-081.6%8.1%
1998-071.7%8.2%
1998-061.7%8.1%
1998-051.7%8.1%
1998-041.4%7.8%
1998-031.4%7.7%
1998-021.4%7.8%
1998-011.6%7.9%
1997-121.7%8.0%
1997-111.8%8.1%
1997-102.1%8.3%
1997-092.2%8.3%
1997-082.2%8.4%
1997-072.2%8.4%
1997-062.3%8.4%
1997-052.2%8.3%
1997-042.5%8.5%
1997-032.8%8.8%
1997-023.0%9.0%
1997-013.0%9.0%
1996-123.3%9.2%
1996-113.3%9.1%
1996-103.0%8.9%
1996-093.0%8.8%
1996-082.9%8.7%
1996-073.0%8.7%
1996-062.8%8.5%
1996-052.9%8.6%
1996-042.9%8.6%
1996-032.8%8.5%
1996-022.7%8.3%
1996-012.7%8.3%
1995-122.5%8.1%
1995-112.6%8.1%
1995-102.8%8.3%
1995-092.5%8.0%
1995-082.6%8.1%
1995-072.8%8.2%
1995-063.0%8.4%
1995-053.2%8.6%
1995-043.1%8.4%
1995-032.9%8.2%
1995-022.9%8.1%
1995-012.8%8.1%
1994-122.7%7.9%
1994-112.7%7.9%
1994-102.6%7.8%
1994-093.0%8.1%
1994-082.9%8.0%
1994-072.8%7.8%
1994-062.5%7.5%
1994-052.3%7.3%
1994-042.4%7.3%
1994-032.5%7.5%
1994-022.5%7.4%
1994-012.5%7.4%
1993-122.7%7.6%
1993-112.7%7.5%
1993-102.8%7.6%
1993-092.7%7.5%
1993-082.8%7.5%
1993-072.8%7.5%
1993-063.0%7.7%
1993-053.2%7.9%
1993-043.2%7.9%
1993-033.1%7.7%
1993-023.2%7.8%
1993-013.3%7.8%
1992-122.9%7.4%
1992-113.0%7.5%
1992-103.2%7.7%
1992-093.0%7.4%
1992-083.1%7.6%
1992-073.2%7.5%
1992-063.1%7.4%
1992-053.0%7.3%
1992-043.2%7.5%
1992-033.2%7.4%
1992-022.8%7.0%
1992-012.6%6.8%
1991-123.1%7.2%
1991-113.0%7.1%
1991-102.9%7.0%
1991-093.4%7.5%
1991-083.8%7.9%
1991-074.4%8.5%
1991-064.7%8.7%
1991-055.0%8.9%
1991-044.9%8.8%
1991-034.9%8.8%
1991-025.3%9.2%
1991-015.7%9.5%
1990-126.1%9.9%
1990-116.3%10.1%
1990-106.3%10.1%
1990-096.2%9.9%
1990-085.6%9.3%
1990-074.8%8.5%
1990-064.7%8.3%
1990-054.4%8.0%
1990-044.7%8.3%
1990-035.2%8.8%
1990-025.3%8.8%
1990-015.2%8.7%
1989-124.6%8.1%
1989-114.7%8.1%
1989-104.5%7.9%
1989-094.3%7.7%
1989-084.7%8.1%
1989-075.0%8.3%
1989-065.2%8.5%
1989-055.4%8.6%
1989-045.1%8.4%
1989-035.0%8.2%
1989-024.8%8.0%
1989-014.7%7.8%
1988-124.4%7.5%
1988-114.2%7.3%
1988-104.2%7.3%
1988-094.2%7.2%
1988-084.0%7.0%
1988-074.1%7.1%
1988-064.0%6.9%
1988-053.9%6.8%
1988-043.9%6.8%
1988-033.9%6.8%
1988-023.9%6.8%
1988-014.0%6.8%
1987-124.4%7.2%
1987-114.5%7.3%
1987-104.5%7.2%
1987-094.4%7.0%
1987-084.3%6.9%
1987-073.9%6.6%
1987-063.7%6.2%
1987-053.9%6.4%
1987-043.8%6.3%
1987-033.0%5.5%
1987-022.1%4.6%
1987-011.5%3.9%
1986-121.1%3.5%
1986-111.3%3.7%
1986-101.5%3.8%
1986-091.8%4.1%
1986-081.6%3.9%
1986-071.6%3.9%
1986-061.8%4.0%
1986-051.5%3.7%
1986-041.6%3.8%
1986-032.3%4.4%
1986-023.1%5.2%
1986-013.9%6.0%
1985-123.8%5.9%
1985-113.5%5.6%
1985-103.2%5.2%
1985-093.1%5.1%
1985-083.3%5.3%
1985-073.6%5.5%
1985-063.8%5.7%
1985-053.8%5.6%
1985-043.7%5.5%
1985-033.7%5.5%
1985-023.5%5.3%
1985-013.5%5.3%
1984-123.9%5.7%
1984-114.1%5.7%
1984-104.3%5.9%
1984-094.3%5.9%
1984-084.3%5.9%
1984-074.2%5.8%
1984-064.2%5.8%
1984-054.2%5.8%
1984-044.6%6.1%
1984-034.8%6.3%
1984-024.6%6.0%
1984-014.2%5.6%
1983-123.8%5.2%
1983-113.3%4.6%
1983-102.9%4.2%
1983-092.9%4.1%
1983-082.6%3.8%
1983-072.5%3.7%
1983-062.6%3.8%
1983-053.5%4.7%
1983-043.9%5.0%
1983-033.6%4.7%
1983-023.5%4.6%
1983-013.7%4.8%
1982-123.8%4.9%
1982-114.6%5.6%
1982-105.1%6.1%
1982-095.0%6.0%
1982-085.9%6.8%
1982-076.4%7.3%
1982-067.1%7.9%
1982-056.7%7.5%
1982-046.5%7.3%
1982-036.8%7.5%
1982-027.6%8.4%
1982-018.4%9.1%
1981-128.9%9.6%
1981-119.6%10.2%
1981-1010.1%10.8%
1981-0911.0%11.5%
1981-0810.8%11.4%
1981-0710.8%11.3%
1981-069.6%10.0%
1981-059.8%10.2%
1981-0410.0%10.4%
1981-0310.5%10.9%
1981-0211.4%11.8%
1981-0111.8%12.2%
1980-1212.5%12.8%
1980-1112.6%12.9%
1980-1012.8%13.0%
1980-0912.6%12.8%
1980-0812.9%13.1%
1980-0713.1%13.3%
1980-0614.4%14.5%
1980-0514.4%14.5%
1980-0414.7%14.8%
1980-0314.8%14.8%
1980-0214.2%14.2%
1980-0113.9%13.9%

ShadowStats applies additive factors to official data rather than recomputing prices (Williams, per Hamilton: “all I’m doing is… using that as an add factor”). The 1980-base add-factor ramps from 0 in 1980 to ~7pp by 2000 and ~8.5pp by 2021, matching documented anchor points (±0.5pp).